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ISSUE 145 - VOL 2
October 15, 2016 - January 14, 2017

Dr. Bienvenu-Magloire Quenum
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Welcome to the quarterly issue of Africabiz Online /free access Synopsis & RSS Feed edition. Previous issue available at this link

The introduction to this issue is available at this link.

A Multi Polar Power Structure Is Now In Place That Is Turning World Affairs Upside Down.

By Dr. Bienvenu Magloire Quenum

Since the beginning of year 2016, World events and affairs are evolving at a breakneck speed; the visible trending being the unquestionable collapse of the unipolar world power structure progressively replaced by new multipolar one. This is obvious. Only delusional people are clinging to their certitudes of the past; making declarations and taking actions to the contrary.

Worldwide 2016 string of events in the political and economic arenas, is so impressive that one has difficulty to choose the one that can be considered starting point - the rupture from the unipolar world to the multipolar one. Is it the failed coup in Turkey (July 15, 2016)? Or the setup of the No-Fly-Zone over Syria by Russia? (October 6, 2016).

However, there is no doubt at all. Both are outstanding events, that would tremendously shape world affairs for the near future of one year.

First, the setup of the Russian No-Fly-Zone over Syria seems to be the most potent one, which can lead to WWW3 if the regime changers - NATO, the United States of America and allied Gulf regional powers react and take the bait.

If they do react and try to penetrate the No-Fly-Zone, Moscow will shoot down planes as above stated by Major General Igor Konashenkov; and may intervene further in Yemen and the Gulf - as it is now revealed (Wikileaks last dump on October 10, 2016) the US's allies were secretly funding the Islamic State terrorists. [Source]

Yes! Who knows what may happen if the invaders/regime changers decide to penetrate the No-Fly-Zone? If they do, this for sure, will put face to face two powers with nuclear capabilities. God help Humanity!

If the regime changers do no react, they definitely lost the gas-pipeline war - here exposed

Second, the failed coup in Turkey is having consequences that show the unipolar world power structure is dead for sure.

One of the consequences, the most salient one, is the "liberation" of Turkey from the tutelage of the West established on Turkey through the Treaty of Lausanne - that brought modern Turkey into being in 1923; tutelage that had been reinforced with the entry (in 1952) of Turkey into the North Atlantic Treaty organization (NATO) - which gives the united States of America the power to fully control Turkish military.

It seems that since July 2016 failed coup, Turkey "recovered" its full sovereignty, acting "independently" from NATO global policy and geostrategic priorities. For instance, the Turkish authorities purge Turkey's military envoys after the failed coup, which means that years of cross-relations between the West military power structure and Turkish one is now completely destroyed. And one can be sure that new (eventual) nominees to the posts would not show any enthusiasm to collaborate.

Another blatant proof of the newly gained Turkish independence/liberty towards NATO and the West in general, is the meeting between Putin and Erdogan in Istanbul on October 10, 2016. Click here to view/listen to their joint press conference.

During the meeting both head of states decide:

1) To call for an urgent end to the bloodshed in Syria.

2) To develop large-scale military-technical cooperation between Ankara and Moscow - experts from both sides are already studying various projects.

3) To “speed up the work” on the implementation/construction of such vital joint projects as the Turkish Stream gas pipeline and the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant.

These are astonishing decisions/undertaking by a member of NATO. Indeed, what do we have here:

a) A Nato member (not a small one, 80 millions inhabitants and the second largest army of the organization) is ready to call for an urgent end of the bloodshed in Syria. Which means that said member would not participate in any attempt by the Western block to penetrate the No-Fly-Zone setup by Russia.

b) A member of Nato ready to develop large-scale military-technical cooperation with a country (Russia) supposed to be a declared foe/enemy of the organization!

c) A member of Nato who is going to build with Russia the Turkish Stream gas pipeline.

That is the real geostrategic diplomatic bombshell, which completely nullifies Nato/United States/European Union energy control strategy - put in place since decades, to contain and stop Russia; the background of the take-down by the West (in 2011) of democratically elected President Viktor Yanuyovch of Ukraine - and main contentious point to the current Ukrainian crisis.

All this, the No-Fly-Zone and the new "diplomatic liberty" gained by Turkey are proofs that something had fundamentally changed in the power structure of the world. And that is simply that the former unipolar world power structure is no more in the position to counter actions and decisions undertaken by a new multipolar world power structure, in the making since the beginning of the century, ready for a fight and determined to be respected - by diplomacy or war.

You also certainly noticed/heard about "non diplomatic" declarations expressed by Philippine's Duterte against the US; and his frenzy search for partnership with China and Russia, longing to distance The Philippines from long time "master" and ally - The United States of America. Does anyone think that behavior possible just one year ago? Now it is happening because the unipolar world power structure is dead.

2016 listing of world events that are proofs the unipolar system is finished is a long one. We chose to discuss only about Turkey and Syria. But, what about Russia opening a military base in Egypt? And Russian and Egiptian troops to hold drills on Mediterranean coast. Another diplomatic bombshell.

In fact, the signs of the collapse of the unipolar world power structure were already there since October 4, 2011, when Russia and China vetoed a resolution on Syria sponsored by the United States of America, France and UK. Since that date, as far as world politics decision making process goes, the United Nations' Security council is no more a rubber stamp office that blindly accommodates western nations's desiderata and whims - as was the case during the invasion of Iraq in 2003.

However, in spite of not being anymore in the position to control the United Nations Security Council's decisions, the unipolar power system was still capable of mounting coalition(s) to defy the International Law.

Now come the date of reckoning as the coalition subterfuge has reached its limit. How the unipolar world power structure would deal with the No-Fly-Zone setup by Russia over Syria on October 6, 2016? Would the powers that ruled under the unipolar system defy Russia? If they do, they go to war with Russia. If they don't, they lose face and accept the existence of another (antagonistic) world power structure.

We can conclude that the unipolar world power structure, dominated by the West since five centuries (at least) and typified by the United States of America since the 1943's died on October 6, 2016 the date Russia setup a No-Fly-Zone in Syria.

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About the management of this Blog: Dr. Bienvenu-Magloire Quenum is the principal/ managing director of Dr. Quenum & Associates, IBC; an experienced Investment & Business Planner with 30 years consulting practice in African countries; author of Africans, Stop Being Poor! and the editor in chief of Africabiz Online

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  Dr. B.M. Quenum
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