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AFRICABIZ VOL 1- ISSUES : 28 & 29
AUGUST 15 - OCTOBER 14, 2001
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Editor: Dr. Bienvenu-Magloire Quenum
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A WORD FROM THE EDITOR


Dear visitor and international investor,


We warmly welcome you, if this is your first visit to Africabiz Online - The ultimate newsletter on trading and investing in 49 sub-Saharan African countries. If you are a regular and faithful reader, welcome back.
If you are a regular and faithful reader, welcome back.

THIS DELIVERY STANDS FOR TWO ISSUES

We are taking one month break from September 1 to September 30. This delivery therefore covers two months August 15 to September 14; and September 15 to October 14. The next issue will be online on October 15, 2001.

CASE STUDY ON HOW TO REACH DOUBLE DIGIT ANNUAL ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE

Month after month we have demonstrated here in AFRICABIZ ONLINE, that, contrary to the common belief, Africa is the only virgin territory left over for high Return On Investment (ROI). In fact the highest in the world.

We produced the following analysis:

- 1 - Strategy for African Countries. Available here.
- 2 - Is Africa doomed? The African Challenge. Available here.
- 3 - Income building power for an African community. Available here.
- 4 - Less than 10% annual growth rate? That's peanuts for an emerging country. Available here.
- 5 - The collapse of Mozambique cashew nut industry. Are the IMF and the World Bank the only guilty ones? Available here

To give flesh to our demonstration we have also, in several deliveries of AFRICABIZ Monthly Issue, introduced you to documented business opportunities, which are components of The Strategy for African Countries; capable of triggering the "Synergetic Impact Factor" here available.

Some of these "economic catalyst" operations are capital intensive; others are labor intensive and for small entrepreneurs. We have introduced you particularly to the following business opportunities with high profit making potential:

a- SHEA BUTTER (Issues 5, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13)
b- BLUE GOLD (Issues 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19)
c- FREEZE-DRIED PAPAIN (Issues 20, 21, 22)

d- KENAF (Issues 23, 24)
e- VEGETABLE OIL (Issues 25, 26, 27)

With the series on VEGETABLE OIL, we moved a step further to demonstrating that these business opportunities, if well planned and implemented, could act as the perfect launching pad to helping any emerging African country to achieve double -digit annual economic growth rate on a sustained basis for 10 to 20 running years.

The business opportunity reported here in this delivery is the gist of the Case Study On How To Reach Double Digit Annual Growth Rate. The full study is here available and stands as testimony to why we do strongly believe in The African Renaissance.

Click here to review Contributor's Guidelines. Your contribution is welcome.

Many thanks for dropping by and see you here on October 15, 2001. We are taking one month break from September 1 to September 30.

Dr. B.M. Quenum

Editor of AFRICABIZ
Contact Dr. Bienvenu-Magloire Quenum

BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN AFRICA


EDIBLE AND INDUSTRIAL OILS AS INCOME BUILDING POWER FOR AN AFRICAN COMMUNITY. PART IV: HOW TO GENERATE DOUBLE DIGIT ECONOMIC ANNUAL GROWTH RATE


In issues N° 25, 26 and 27 we exposed an interesting business opportunity based on edible / industrial oil production combined with animal breeding (hog fattening). Here we demonstrate how that opportunity could be used to boost the global economic development of any emerging African country. Annual economic growth rate obtained through the implementation of a scheme based on oil production and animal fattening is simply outstanding. The complete study on "How to reach double digit annual growth rate" is here available..

Let's consider for example a network of 10,000 small entrepreneurs (established over a period of 10 years) involved in the scheme of oil production combined with hog fattening as here exposed. They will need annually (starting from the tenth year):

- 1 - Sesame seeds: 40 (kg) x 8 (hours) x 3 (expellers) x26 (days per month) x 12 (months) x 10,000 (entrepreneurs) = 3,000,000 metric tons

- 2 - Cereals for animal feed formulation: 4,190,000 metric tons Click here to see why)

Please remark that these pretty huge amounts of sesame seeds and cereals will have a local consumption base; completely independent from international market pricing dicta as here explained.

IMPACT ON GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT


Cereals and oil seeds crops production levels above mentioned clearly demonstrate that the scheme here discussed - based on edible / industrial oil production combined with animal breeding - is a perfect "economic catalyst" activity.

Industrial / edible oils produced by these small scale operations are raw materials for a string of other industrial productions; such as: soap, cosmetics, food products, detergents, paints and even substitutes to petroleum-based lubricants and fuels.

The byproduct / oil meal will help solving the animal feed problem which exists in most of sub-Saharan African countries and boost up animal breeding: cattle, goats, fowls and so forth.

The "Synergetic Impact Factor" of the scheme here studied - that is to say its inherent capability to activate and sustain the economic growth through a dynamic interrelation between activities of the primary sector (agriculture), secondary sector (industry) and tertiary sector (services) in a total fusion - (graphically represented here ) is therefore obvious.

Now we can move a step further to evaluating the impact of the scheme on the Gross National Product of any implementing African country.

Under assumptions here made Table below lists revenues generated by the scheme's outputs and the global impact on the Gross National Product (GNP)::

Revenues (in red): US $ x 1,000,000
YEARS
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Oil
a
75
150
225
300
375
450
525
600
675
750
Animal breeding
b
326
652
978
1.304
1.630
1.956
2.282
2.608
2.934
3.260
Cereals crops
c
474
947
1.420
1.894
2.368
2.841
3.315
3.788
4.262
4.735
Oil seeds crops
d
204
408
612
816
1.020
1.224
1.428
1.632
1.836
2.040
Services (storage, transport,
insurance; etc.)
e
486
971
1.456
1.941
2.427
2.912
3.398
3.883
4.368
4.853
Total revenues generated by the scheme
f
1.565
3.128
4.691
6.255
7.820
9.383
10.948
12.511
14.075
15.638
GNP without the scheme
g
3.000
3.150
3.308
3.473
3.647
3.829
4.020
4.221
4.432
4.654
Global GNP
h
4.565
6.278
7.999
9.728
11.467
13.212
14.968
16.732
18.507
20.292
Resulting annual Growth Rate
i
-
37.52
27.41
22.62
17.87
15.21
13.29
11.78
10.60
9.64

Line (i) highlights Professor Moses Abramowitz's Catch Up Factor and double- digit theory as here extensively exposed. Within a span time of ten years, the initial GNP (year 1 -line g) had been multiplied by 6.76 - (year 10 -line h) even without considering any increase of outputs over years.

Figures outlined in above table clearly show that the establishment of a network of small scale oil processing units - based on nuts, kernels and oil-containing seeds - and combined with animal breeding (hog fattening), stands as a perfect "Income Building Power" operation; labor intensive and foreign currency provider or saver. Capable of generating the "Synergetic Impact Factor" here available and double digit economic annual growth rate on a sustained basis for 10 to 20 running years.

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