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PER CAPITA GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP) VERSUS PARITY PURCHASING POWER (PPP) Since
two decades there is a tendency to "measure" the wealth of countries
around the world considering the Parity Purchasing Power instead of Gross National
Product. Let us quickly analyze both indicators to see if it is correct
to use PPP instead of per Capita GNP - for African developing countries.
| Comparison
Between Per Capita GNP and Party Purchasing Power
| | | 1983-1993 | 1993-2003 |
| Countries | Per
Capita GNP* | PPP* | Poverty
Level* | Per
Capita GNP* | PPP* | Poverty
Level* | | Benin | 390 | 1,050 | 55 | 385 | 1,020 | 50 |
| Côte
d'Ivoire | 1,200 | 2,510 | 35 | 610 | 1,430 | 55 |
| Senegal | 720 | 2,102 | 45 | 470 | 1,510 | 50 |
| Cameroon | 1,100 | 2,450 | 38 | 560 | 1,640 | 45 |
| CentralAfrica | 485 | 1,850 | 68 | 260 | 1,190 | 80 |
| Tanzania | 450 | 750 | 60 | 300 | 550 | 65 |
| Kenya | 990 | 2,050 | 35 | 680 | 1,020 | 45 |
| Malawi | 280 | 690 | 70 | 220 | 670 | 75 |
| South
Africa | 2,950 | 11,200 | 35 | 2,600 | 9,870 | 10 |
Per
Capita GNP in US$ Parity Purchasing Power in US$ Poverty Level: Percentage
of the Population living with less than US$ 1 (One) per day |
| Source:
World Bank Reports | DEFINITIONS
In short, Per
capita GNP represents the total of riches produced by the different economic sectors
(Agriculture, Industries, Services and Administration) of a country divided by
the number of citizens.
On its part, PPP is based on a theory, which states the exchange rate between
two currencies adjusts - over a long term - to relative price levels (to purchasing
the same category of goods or services in different countries). Thanks to the
extra-purchasing bonus gained by the national currency of a developing country
versus the currency of a developed one, developing country's consumers may "enjoy"
the same living standard as the one from a developed country. In other
words, with one US$ a consumer buys more quantity of services or goods in a developing
country than in a developed one. That is for the basic concept behind PPP.
In a way, PAP evaluates the "welfare" or "well-being" enjoyed by a category
of citizens in underdeveloped countries. Measuring "welfare" or "well-being"
of people is a subjective undertaking. You will certainly agree. Well.
The application of the theory to developing countries results most of the times
in attributing them PPP value higher than the per capita GNP. As shown on above
Table for sampled African countries.
PPP IS THE TREE THAT HIDES THE FOREST OF POVERTY IN AFRICAN COUNTRIES
One is entitled to question the representativeness of PPP to "benchmarking"
the purchasing power of a developing country's citizen - not to speak of the alleged
"welfare" measuring.
Indeed, how many people in any African country could
"enjoy" the same living standard as a citizen from a developed world?
Figures
on the Table above represent the whole spectrum of African countries from Africa
"economic super power" South Africa to the Least Developed countries such as Benin
and Malawi.
Poverty
Level In African Countries Percentage of People Living With Less Than US$
1 Or 2 Per Day |  |
You
will notice South Africa had been "allocated" a hefty PPP, which is 3.8 times
its "normal" per capita GNP. Benin got a PPP that is 2.7 times its normal per
capita Gross National GNP.
However, when you consider the Level of Poverty
(the percentage of people living with less than US$ one per day or with less than
US$ 2 per day - see Figure below), you see that it run high for any African country
- South Africa included.
Therefore how much credit can one gives to PPP
to benchmarking the purchasing power in developing African countries, when the
majority of the populations cannot afford rubbing one dollar against another?
In fact, how many people in a developing country can enjoy a living standard
similar to the one existing in developed country? A minority of "privileged" comprising
high-rank civil servants, business People and black marketers. They make up no
more than 5% of the populations.
Could an impartial observer aware of
the existing economic situation in South Africa believe that the "normal" South
African citizen "enjoys" a PPP equals to US 9,890? By normal we mean the south
African citizen who is not part of the elite and is living in remote villages
without descent housing, no permanent electricity supply, no running water (not
to speak of dwellers of sprawling shanty towns around the push cities). A person
who believes that is not aware.
PPP is good for the ego of African rulers
and "elite". They are satisfied when their country PPP is higher than the normal
distressing per capita GNP. PPP is good for ego. No one can deny that. However,
PPP does not mirror the reality of economic developing in Africa.
Per
capita GNP does not also tell the whole truth. Is it reasonable and congruous
to the reality that South Africa's per capita Gross National Product is "calculated"
equal to US 2,600? The remark is the same for African countries that show "marvellous"
per Capita GNP based solely on the "harvest" of oil fields.
That said
per capita GNP is "more accurate" than PPP to evaluating the wealth at the disposal
of an African country's citizen than PPP. Particularly for developing countries
that have per capita GNP value between US$ 100 and US$ 3.500.
PPP on its
part is closer to the economic reality when applied to countries that have per
capita GNP equal to US 4,000 and above. Those are the Intermediary Income Countries.
On the condition that said countries do really manufacture goods and do not garner
their apparent wealth from the harvest of natural resources. Of course PPP is
accurate when applied to developed countries.
No African country should
be proud when granted a higher PPP versus its normal per capita GNP. The calculated
GNP is simply the mirror of the current state of the economy that does not create
jobs and does not build up riches to help fighting against poverty.
There
is no need to be ashamed when per capita GNP of our respective countries is "distressing".
We should accept the Reality conveyed by these figures, which reads as follows:
Our countries are not developed. They are poor countries. Once accepted, the truth
leads to solutions. We should start brainstorming to boost the performance of
our economies. It is urgent that we target double-digit economic growth rates.
The only truth conveyed by PPP is that a tourist (from a developed
country) when visiting a developing one enjoys a higher standard of living than
he may not afford in his own country. Anything else - trying to attribute to African
countries PPP higher that the normal per capita GNP - is only diversion from existing
economic reality.
"CONTRIBUTOR'S
GUIDELINES" are
available here. We invite you
to contribute to AFRICABIZ ONLINE MONTHLY ISSUE - with articles related to
"How Africa Could Bridge The Developing Gap". Many
thanks for subscribing to Africabiz. See you on April 15, 2004.
Dr. B.M. Quenum
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TROPICAL ROOTS AND
TUBERS (PART VI): AS COMPONENTS TO A STRATEGIC INTEGRATED
SCHEME
On the online monthly page
of AFRICABIZ are listed four processed cassava's products, which highlight
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- to the Integrated Economic Development Scheme Briefs
on the preparation of fresh cassava prior to the production of chips and pellets
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exposed in an article titled: Strategy
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