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Welcome
to AFRICABIZ, 
Welcome
to Africabiz Online Synopsis
RSS Feed edition. Previous issue available at this
link.
Dear faithful reader,
SEPTEMBER
11, 2001 : THE BEGINNING OF A NEW WORLD
After one month break from August 30 to September 30, 2001, we are back
to work. More motivated than ever to promoting investment and trade between Africa
and the world at large.
During our vacation, tremendous dramatic events
occurred: The suicide "Airliners-bombing" attacks on the Twin Sisters
at New York City and the Pentagon at Washington D.C. USA.
Africabiz
editorial team presents its sincere condolences to all who suffered dearly from
the disaster.
Yes, the death toll is so high that each of us, worldwide,
lost either a friend, a sister, a brother, a fiancee, a wife, a husband, a mother,
a father, an uncle, an aunt, a nephew, a niece, a business partner and or a job.
One way or another the whole world is concerned about the cataclysmal occurrence.
The world will never be the same as before September 11, 2001. The shockwave
of the disaster is doubtless going to shape the world politics, economy and culture
for at least the coming decade and have a persisting global impact on the whole
21 Th. century.
One can say that the 20 Th. century died really
on September 11, 2001. We are entering a new world of uncharted waters and no
one can predict for sure what will come out of the disaster.
However,
one can try to dig out the true causes, which triggered the mayhem. It will not
be honest, intellectually, to stick only to the visible cause. That is to say
terrorism.
The visible and obvious cause of September 11, 2001 events
is terrorism. No doubt about that. But what brings out terrorism? That's a fundamental
question. Finding the true causes will help all of us avoid the repetition of
other dramatic events similar to September 11, 2001.
Knowing what creates
terrorism will help us find solutions. Focusing only on hunting down terrorists
will not suppress terrorism as some leaders and their followers believe.
Terrorism can take place at home between wife and husband, parents and children;
at working places between employees and employers; between a state system and
a national group (political, religious, regional) of citizens against that system;
between different nations (more developed and less develop); between Freedom Fighters
(group of people fighting for their national rights, their dignity, their overall
liberty rights) and an oppressive nation, entity or organized body; between a
charismatic political, religious, or esoteric leader and his gullible followers.
Etc. As you can see Terrorism is a complex concept. Definition is not easy at
all. See here
another similar opinion by Michael Kinsley; posted Thursday, Oct. 4, 2001,
in Slate.
Individual or groups of people suffering from terrorism or
controlled by terrorism' s leaders and ideology may become terrorists. That is
to say they can plan and perpetuate drastic actions whatever may be the consequences.
They can go to the extreme of killing innocent people to draw the attention of
the world to their suffering and or their ideology or opinion at the expense of
their own life.
But truly the real reasons behind terrorism read
as follows : poverty, oppression and lack of consideration.
Individuals
of all nations and races engulfed in abject poverty may become and do become puppets
and slaves in hands of devious manipulators. For peanuts they are ready to carry
out the most unthinkable action planned by their masters.
People who
are living under an apartheid regime, which dignity is daily challenged and trampled
down by a powerful oppressor, may recourse to drastic actions to fight back and
make their plight known to the world at large.
Those nations, which are
looked down upon by the power of the day, may have no other mean to attract attention
to their desperate global economic situation than staging non conventional political
actions bordering terrorism.
So, to stem out terrorism, corrections
and durable solutions should be found for poverty, oppression of all kinds and
lack of consideration to the less developed of the world.
That is
a daunting task, which will require dedication from humanist leaders capable of
acting without their eyes riveted on opinion polls. A right, wise and good leader
should have vision, lead and not necessary follow the folks.
IS
RETALIATION THE SOLUTION?
On October 7, 2001, 26 days after
the attacks, America struck back. The formidable armada of America gathered to
launch airstrikes against the taliban's regime of Afghanistan These strikes gave
some feeling of "contentment" to some leaders and common people in the
States and around the world. They are sure they avenged the victims of September
11, 2001 and the audacity of the attacks carried out against the Superpower of
the United States of America.
We amongst many others around the world
are of the opposite opinion. Would the retaliation staged on October 7, 2001 restore
security everywhere and particularly on USA's territory? Would that retaliation
reestablish the former Pax Americana status existing before September 11, 2001?
Obviously not. As explained above terrorists spring out from certain conditions
created by global human relationships. As far as these conditions are not properly
addressed terrorism's leaders will always exist and prosper in finding and creating
terrorists.
For a better world it is necessary that we, as citizens
of the global village, search for other ways and means to address poverty, oppression
and injustice.
Some American leaders have a good perception of the
problem. Amongst them is Senator Joseph R. Biden, Jr. -
Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee - who declared on October 3,
2001 : "...If we had not lost interest a decade ago, perhaps Afghanistan would
not have turned into the swamp of terrorism and brutality that it has become...It
is time to reverse more than a decade of neglect, not only for the sake of
Afghanistan, but for our sake." Click
here for Senator Joseph R. Biden, Jr. website; and here
for an article by Jason Vest titled : After Bombing: Ground Troops,
Nation Building Or Walking Away? and published on October 8, 2001 in The Black
World Today.
 That
opinion of Senator Joseph R. Biden, Jr. is similar to the one expressed by Pope
John Paul II to President George W. Bush visiting him at Castel Gandolfo, The
Vatican, on July 23, 2001.
Pope John Paul II raised several crucial themes:
the globalization problem, duties of developed nations, stem cell research
and declared: "... As a superpower you have global responsibility over
the world at large...".
In other words Pope John Paul II was
trying to convey to the leader of the Superpower that USA cannot continue to play
it solo on the world political stage; take what pleases him and contemptuously
rejects what displeases him; refuse and discard criticisms whatever maybe the
feelings of other nations and people who are not American citizens. Behaving likes
that is, for sure, meeting troubles half way. In the global village, solidarity
should also be global. Click
here for President Bush speech at Castel Gondolfo on July 23, 2001; and here
for a transcript of the meeting between President George W. Bush and Pope John
Paul II.
NO NATION CAN SHIELD ITSELF FROM THE
OTHERS
The avenging airstrikes campaign
over Afghanistan against the taliban's regime, which begun on October 7, 2001
were combined with humanitarian actions. Some foods and emergency health care
products paradropped to the poor Afghanis who are suffering since two decades
from civil war and persisting drought.
That is good and should have
been the only reply to the attacks in combination with tense worldwide diplomatic
pressures to toppling the taliban's regime. That kind of humanitarian action will
yield more positive results than airstrikes. It will help alleviate people suffering
and have a long term result in stemming out terrorism.
Senator Joseph
R. Biden' opinion above exposed
is valid not only for Afghanistan alone but for the whole so-called Third World.
Not only for their sake, but for the sake of America as well.
Nowadays, there is no way for any nation to shield itself from the others. Satellite
television, the Internet and international travel means make it impossible. Anything
happening thousand of miles away in any nation has an impact locally on other
countries. Culturally, politically and economically. People from the Third World
are aware of the riches existing in the Developed World. They view, daily, the
opulence of the "Northerners". They are witnesses to Television games
- staged in the industrialized world - distributing to the winners the amount
of 50 years of toiling work in their countries. They resent it and that resentment
can become hatred.
EVERYTHING EXISTS UNDER THE
SUN FOR A BETTER WORLD
That state of
existing world affairs in which few - 15% - of the world
population lives in opulence, 10% in descent living conditions and the remaining
75 % struggles in abject survival conditions needs to be corrected as quickly
as possible.
That is the only way to stem out terrorism.
Nowadays,
everything, from scientific discoveries to financial means, does exist to start
correcting the divide gap. Scientific breakthroughs in the genetic field can now
be used to helping control and eradicate most of the diseases destroying the lifeblood
of African nations. These fantastic scientific discoveries unfolding hour after
hour can help develop new crops and increase their yield. Etc.
The
only thing, which is lacking now is a political will to do so.
And
one can say that the obtuse blindness of the developed world's leaders is not
only counterproductive but self destructive. The more developed the actual
Third World becomes, the more prosperous the actual Developed World. New developed
countries will buy equipment, machinery, fertilizers, medicines etc.; from old
developed countries; and sell them all kinds of commodities and goods. International
trade will doubtless be boosted up. We will then live in a new era of tremendous
crisscross exchanges and win win game for every nation involved.
What we expressed above is not just talk. We demonstrate our assertion below
in the Business Opportunities' section. We show how to
boost up the per capita GNP of an underdeveloped country from US$ 380 to 2,500
in 10 years span time and to 4,000 after 20 years of investment thrust.
As shown below
financial means necessary to lifting the Third World from abject living conditions
to descent ones are not so huge and could be easily setup. Only lacks the political
will to do so.
Either the leaders of the powers of the day see the
light and follow the vision of people like Pope John II and Senator Joseph Biden
- and the world shall become a better place for all of us - or they stick to the
actual selfishness and counterproductive ethnocentrist oriented development policy;
and the world will steadily drift towards a painful and nigphparish place for
anyone living on the earth. There is no way of hiding, secluding or bunkering
oneself. It will not work that way.
"CONTRIBUTOR'S
GUIDELINES" are
available here. You are invited
to contribute to AFRICABIZ ONLINE MONTHLY ISSUE - in accordance to specifics
outlined in the Contributor's Guidelines.
Many
thanks for subscribing to Africabiz. See you here next month on November 15.
Dr. B.M. Quenum
Click here for contact & support console
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Business
Opportunities PER
CAPITA GNP BOOSTING FROM US$ 380 to 2,500 IN 10 YEARS
Last month, through a case study, we demonstrated that any African country
is capable of generating double-digit annual economic growth rate over a long
period of 10 to 20 years. The full study is here available and summarized in table and graph below: (in red GNP in million
of US $)
| Years |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 | |
GNP
without the scheme |
3.000 |
3.150 |
3.308 |
3.473 |
3.647 |
3.829 |
4.020 |
4.221 |
4.432 |
4.654 |
| Global
GNP | 4.565 |
6.278 |
7.999 |
9.728 |
11.467 |
13.212 |
14.968 |
16.732 |
18.507 |
20.292 |
| Resulting
annual Growth Rate |
52.10 |
37.52
|
27.41
|
22.62
|
17.87
|
15.21
|
13.29
|
11.78
|
10.60
|
9.64
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Line
3 highlights Professor Moses Abramowitz's Catch
Up Factor and double- digit theory
Within a span time of ten years, the initial GNP (year 1 -line 1) had been
multiplied by 6.76 - (year 10 -line 2) even without considering any increase of
outputs over years.
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One
remarks the outstanding economic annual growth rate achieved over years in line
with Abramowitz's theory
and Parker's observations and
findings. Other
high added value operations briefly listed here
could be established to sustain the growth and keep it
into the double digit bracket for an additional 10 to 20 years running.
 -
In line with the conclusion
of our Editorial : EVERYTHING EXISTS UNDER THE SUN FOR
A BETTER WORLD, let's take Benin
as example of one of the least developed countries of Africa - Population : 6,000,000;
GNP : US$ 3 billion - and make the following remarks (in case financing - US$
167 to 200 million a year over 10 years' period - is made available to implementing
the scheme as explained in this delivery):
| 1-
Benin will achieve annual economic growth rate in the double-digit bracket never
obtained before; since 40 years.
2- After 10 years of implementing
the scheme Benin's GNP will be multiplied by 6.7 to reach the amount of US
$ 20 billion. For a population averaging 8,000,000 million people.
3- That is to say a per capita GNP of US$: 2,500 (if the scheme
is implemented) against US $: 582 (if the scheme is not implemented.)
4- In other words the per capita GNP will increase in 10 years'
period from US$ 380 to US$ 2,500 (with the implementation of the scheme);
and only from US$ 380 to US$ 582 (if the scheme is not implemented)
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Above remarks lead to the following conclusions :
| 1-
At year 2010, Benin population would had increased approximately from
6,000,000 to 8,000,000. AKA 33% increase over a period of 10 years.
2- If Benin does keep on experiencing the current meager economic
growth rate in the range of 5% per year, its per capita GNP increase will be
only 19%. Which means too many people for less riches and therefore possibility
for increased civil unrest and even civil war.
3- Benin will
then be heading straight for the wall of instability and bankruptcy. The population
living in survival, precarious conditions and aggravated misery; a high level
of unemployment and no financial means available to the government to establishing
vital infrastructure : schools, hospitals, roads. Etc.
4-
However, if financial means are made available - something in the range of US$
167 to 200 million a year over 10 years to implementing the integrated scheme
as here exposed - Benin economy
will take off with an annual economic growth rate in the double-digit range.
5- After 10 years of sustained investment burst to implementing
the integrated scheme, Benin will be knocking at the door of Intermediary Developed
Countries' circle with a per capita GNP in the range of US$ 2,500. The
country will be less poor and prosperity will start being globally visible in
the country.
6- After 20 years of sustained investment thrust
Benin will be a recognized member of the circle of Intermediary Developed
Countries with a per capita GNP in the range of US$ 4,000. Global prosperity
will be visible. More schools, hospitals, roads and so on.
7-
And after 10 more additional years - that is to say 30 years after the beginning
of the implementation of the integrated scheme - Benin will be knocking at
the door of New Developed Countries. The population will have decent living conditions.
Health care for all, abundance and general prosperity. |
-One can
see that the scenario to lifting Benin
from the underdeveloped countries' league to developed
one requests financing in the range of US$ 2 (two) billion - US$
200 million per year over 10 years' period. Really far less than the amount
(US$ 9 billion) the IMF / the World Bank poured into Ghana
financial system over 10 years (1988-1998) for Structural Adjustment Programs
(as here explained);
and for non conclusive economic results. Ghana economy had not took off.
For the 48 sub-Saharan African countries
the global amount of investment necessary to boost up their economies and trigger
their take off could be reasonably estimated to something in the bracket of US$
200 to 400 billion for 10 years! That is to say US$ 20 to 40 billion per
year for 48 countries over 10 years.
Above estimated total amount necessary
- for only 10 years of investment burst - to initiating
the process, alleviate poverty and create descent living conditions in 48 countries
represents less than 50% of financial means dedicated per
year by developed countries to armament expenditures.
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The subsequent economic development of African countries will increase doubtless
their involvement in the international trading. They will buy from and sell to
old developed nations all types of machinery, equipment commodities and goods.
A tremendous crisscross win win game will be established between the North and
the South.
The full case study on how to reach double digit annual growth
rate is here available. And
here you have an introduction
to another economic
catalyst capable of acting as Income Building Power For An African Community
: Sorghum
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